Hes a sleeper only because of the odds. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks and Predictions But the truth of the matter is that favorites dont always win golf tournaments. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday in Tulsa, so let's put together a winning DFS strategy. 2022 PGA Championship Sleepers and Longshot Picks for Southern Hills He was originally co-favored to win the event along withScottie Scheffler (+1200)andJustin Thomas (+1200), but Rahm has emerged as the favorite this year. So, why no love for Homa from the bookmakers? Speaking of high numbers! Recent PGA Championship Winners (Opening odds) 2021: Phil Mickelson (+15000)2020: Collin Morikawa (+6000)2019: Brooks Koepka (+1400)2018: Brooks Koepka (+2000)2017: Justin Thomas (+3000)2016:. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. When it comes to my betting picks this week, you won't find anything too groundbreaking here. TIL Y.E. Hes played like a top-30 player in the world over the last six months by Strokes Gained, leading to eight top-15 finishes this season. Rory McIlroy is next in line at 19-2, with defending champion Scottie Scheffler at 11-1. PGA Championship Picks 2022: Favorites, Values and Longshots | SBR Keegan Bradley in 2011, Jimmy Walker in 2016 even last year at Kiawah Island, Phil Mickelson was hardly on anyone's radar -- and if someone says otherwise, that person is likely lying. While there is a gulf of differences between the skills and mindset needed to win a major title and winning at your average PGA TOUR stop, Homas game should fit both on paper. It's the city in which two best moments in golf have come - namely, winning the 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson and then successfully defending his crown just this past week. Below is a breakdown of several candidates to consider in this year's PGA Championship field. When it comes to the weather, it's supposed to be gusty this week, so that will be something to keep an eye on. Try selecting a different location. But every so often you see a Cameron Champ, a name that makes you almost wonder: What does everyone else know that I dont? Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Pictured: Max Homa. To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. Recent PGA Champions 4. His approach game is the weakest part of his arsenal, but he still ranks 27th in SG:APR, so he has the tools needed to challenge for his second win at the major. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational one and done picks, sleepers, purse His only win in 2021 was at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship that featured paspalum. Why not Schauffele, to break the major-less streak, at +2,500? And though he has yet to make a cut in his three major starts, hes poised to do so soon. 2022 PGA Championship Sleeper Picks Max Homa +8000 ( DraftKings) Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. Among the top qualifiers for the Championship are Scottie Sheffler, Will Zalatoris, and Cameron Smith. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. We got it all, chickens, goats, you name it. Yeah, youll get a lot of the favorites because those are name bets of course, folks are going to pick the Rorys and the Tigers because thats whom they know. To date, his performance in run-of-the-mill PGA TOUR events greatly outpaces his work in the majors. As for Thomas, he has had six top-10 finishes in competitions since January. Just shot 64 at Southern Hills his favorite course. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook. Now lets dig into some longshots.. We have about 30 acres right now. He ranks top-20 in SG:APR, one-putt percentage and scrambling from the rough, so he should be a safe bet to remain in contention this week. Speaking of 2012, that's the last time we were back here when Rory McIlroy destroyed the competition. Yang, +100,000. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. The Horse 5. Sleeper pick: Ill give you two! The PGA Championship has awarded the Wanamaker Trophy to many. There is a narrative brewing that around the green play will be important this week. This. Because the API is an elevated event, 27 of the top 30 players in the world will tee it up at Bay Hill with a $3.6 . There are a lot of ways to play your golf gambling dollar. Count me among those who believe he has as good a chance as anyone to win this weeks PGA Championship at Southern Hills. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Champ offers tremendous value if the public is on to something, so lets zoom in. PGA Championship 2022 best bets: Props, sleepers, head-to-head matchups Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Previewing the 2023 Puerto Rico Open with our top picks based on the best PGA Tour odds. No, hes not hurt. This number is too high for a guy who hits it this well and is this good around the greens. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. . In 2020, he finished second at the Scottish Open and in 2019, he finished second at the Open Championship. This week, the PGA event is The PGA Championship. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. Is Phil Mickelson playing the 2022 PGA Championship? 1 value play in the event. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Sleepers: BMW Championship Picks - The Lines Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. Touts are lame. Who will disappoint? Maybe. That makes his +275 odds to log a top-10 finish look pretty appetizing. Since the 2022 FedEx Cup season opened in October, Scott has two top tens on the PGA Tour, two top 10s on the DP World Tour in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and only missed one cut in 13 starts (at the wind-plagued PLAYERS Championship). This course may remind Leishman a bit of some of his favorite courses back home in Australia, as it will feature firm fairways, slopey greens, heavy winds, lots of bunkers and shaved runoffs all around the greens. Lets go with the legend himself for a DEEP sleeper. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. Justly so, as he's playing terrific golf, finishing third in each of his past two events. Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. 2022 Players Championship: Sleepers, long shots and expert picks - Golfweek Here are a few tips. Some of the games biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins to their resumes over the last few months and are ready for battle. The putter will need to get hot for him to walk away with the trophy, but he could end up in the top 10 even with a cold one. He is a seasoned veteran who has four top-five finishes in majors, including the playoff loss to Zach Johnson at the 2015 Open at The Old Course. BMW Championship odds, expert picks, sleepers: Justin Thomas, Sam Burns Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected . No more. readfullarticle Source: CBS Yeah, that came at Augusta National. Jacob Camenker is a senior content producer at The Sporting News. You can too! section: | slug: 2022-pga-championship-picks-predictions-odds-five-sleepers-who-may-surprise-as-winners | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Bergers not long by Tour standards, but he is accurate, and hes a killer around the greens, which will be essential at the new-look Southern Hills with its slick, difficult-to-hit surfaces. This one feels too easy. Sleeper pick: Cameron Young, +8,000. Woods is projected under 10% owned. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. The 25-year-old has never played in the PGA Championship nor has he made a cut at a major, but he has the tools needed to make noise this week. Why not now? The PGA Championship features a stacked field of golfers that will compete at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. Scheffler, the No. Wagering on golf always seems to come down to the wire, which is why Ive become hooked. MORE: How a fantasy football punishment led to a 112 score at a U.S. Open qualifier. He shines at major championships. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Champ: Were in Houston, Texas. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. Only 17 players from that tournaments field will return this week, but most are well into the twilight of their careers. Smith has two PGA Tour wins in 2022, including the Players, and is considered by many to have the hottest putter on the planet. Davante Adams turned down a bigger deal from the Packers to force his way to Raiders, Mohammed Usman sets the record straight on Mitchell Sipe trash-talk, outright pick to win the 2022 PGA Championship. Of course, Young's weakness is the all-important approach game, where he ranks 83rd in SG:APR. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Just sometimes certain shots I might feel it a little bit, but again, its rare that it causes me any problems.. Cameron Champ hits a tee shot last month during the Mexico Open. He's confident, and the putter is starting to become a friend once again. There are two players that stick out as solid winner bets for this weekend's major: Justin Thomas (+1200) and Viktor Hovland (+2500). Rory McIlroy 8. The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. So, good putters should fare well on this course. The form is there, and by all accounts, the course fit is there. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Elsewhere, Scott is 80-1 or lower. Its the chalkiest pick on the board, but Im taking it anyway. Both check all of the boxes that we are looking for on the Southern Hills Country Club course. The PGA Championship returns to Kiawah Island's Ocean Course for a second time, nine years after Rory McIlroy's dominant eight-shot victory at the famed Pete Dye design. He became the oldest major winner in golf the first over 50 years of age with his two-stroke win over Louis Oosthuizen in 2021. Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. Southern Hills bears little resemblance to last years PGA Championship venue at Kiawah, but if the wind blows as expected in Tulsa this week, Higgs might be able to squeak his way up the leaderboard playing a similar style as his T4 finish at the Ocean Course. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. After missing the weekend at the Honda, he went on a run of five straight T-22 or better finishes in stroke-play events (including at T-14 at Augusta). 17. We hate touts. (Photo: Nick Wass/Associated Press). Be that as it may, the putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts. If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring,Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000)each have the potential to outperform expectations. Hovland, like Thomas, has one weaker portion of his game, and that is his one-putt percentage. Jon Rahm (+1100) is currently the favoriteto win the PGA Championship, according to odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Sleeper Picks: PGA Championship - PGATour Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Among the deluge of Camerons on the PGA TOUR, 25-year-old American Cameron Young deserves some shine. Check out some of the sleepers in the 2022 PGA Championship below. Tyrell Hatton ($8,100) - Tyrell Hatton has now gained strokes putting in nine straight events. I went back and forth here with fellow Englishman Paul Casey, but I settled on Hatton for a few reasons. Phil Mickelson is the reigning winner of the PGA Championship. He wants the throne back, and a win at Southern Hills, Scotties favorite course, will remind everyone that Rahm is still golfs best player. (And if youre looking to place any of these bets yourself, we teamed with BetMGM, and the online sports book is offering a new promotion: Make a risk-free bet up to $1,000. The 2022 PGA Championship will be underway this week. His highest finish was a T-4 in 2018. Hes also been a fairly reliable player in the majors, missing just one cut in five career starts. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. His statistical profile is awfully similar to that of Bradley, and most forget he shared the 54-hole lead with Louis Oosthuizen and Mackenzie Hughes in last year's U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. That will make strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) one of the most important metrics for evaluating this field. Woods is set to participate in the event this year; he missed it in 2021 while recovering from injuries sustained in a Feb. 23 car crash earlier that year. With the wind, Southern Hills should play difficult. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022! Overall, the field is absolutely stacked, so this will be fun to watch, especially come Sunday. Horse For The Course: PGA DFS Course History - 2023 Arnold Palmer PGA: Thursday tee times | Best bets | ESPN+ streaming. Min Woo Lee ($6,700) - When Min Woo Lee begin playing events on the PGA Tour he brought some hype. Hovland Is still one of the best ball strikers on tour. Were about to have a little bit more. Yeah, its our little oasis at home, and we love it. They may have their flaws -- they are "sleepers" for a reason -- but each possess considerable upside and some have even raised a major championship trophy in the past. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! Over those 12 rounds, hes shot over par just once a three-over 75 during the second round at Augusta. Bet with your head, not over it. It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. Over the last 24 rounds, Hatton ranks third in the field in strokes gained short-game. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fourth in ball striking, and second in strokes gained approach. Id be shocked if Scheffler isnt in the mix on Sunday afternoon. His form in 2021 has also been inconsistent, but he finished 10th at the Arnold Palmer and 14th at Wells Fargo, so he has it in him to be in contention. He finished in a tie for third the following year but has not factored in a major since. Note:All odds are courtesy of WynnBet. Being a big hitter will help on this course, but having a great approach game will be the key to winning the Wanamaker trophy. In his past two starts, Champ has been channeling that power into better scoring, with a T10 at the Masters and T6 at the Mexico Open. If any of them are in the running come Sunday, I will live bet and hedge for a little pizza money to make sure I come out on top. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. Taking sleeper picks is. Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open. Hes relaxed: Champ rehabbed on a farm, and Ill let him explain the vibe, which he also shared at the Mexico Open. Early Draft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football) This week, the course will play 300 yards longer, and its fairways much wider. However, it could lead to a similar situation to The Players Championship. Hottest golfer on the planet. Noren is not the Oklahoma State player that everyone would expect to win this week, but his game fits this course well and he excels in the wind. The four-time Tour winners history at major championships is worrisome, with his best finish coming at the 2021 Open (T-40).