Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is . PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. The two big prospects in the Trea Turner/Scherzer trade, Josiah Gray will slot into the rotation and Keibert Ruiz should become the everyday catcher. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: mlb | pageType: stories | Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Our 2022 MLB predictions panel. Now in the new year, they'll have a target on their backs as several teams loaded up this offseason with the goal of avoiding a repeat champion. The lineup dips after Jose Ramirez, and even with the powerful bat of Franmil Reyes, Cleveland lacks true support for its star third baseman. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . Hes going to be one of the best players in MLB before long and some even think hell get MVP votes in 2022. The offense is stacked with names like Luis Robert, Tim Anderson, Yoan Moncada and Jose Abreu. Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. The rotation could be in tatters behind Zack Wheeler. Cleveland might be trending the wrong direction compared to most teams, but finishing last still feels like a bit of a stretch. ZiPS projects both the Mariners and Angels for 85 wins, putting the two clubs in a tie for the third AL Wild Card spot behind the Blue Jays and Rays. There's certainly a void in the lineup without Tatis (and once his wrist is fully recovered, do we trust his shoulder to stay put the rest of the way?) The Raysare that team that is constantly underloved by metrics and subsequently overperforms. It was a surprise to see theCubs spendsemi-big onSeiya Suzuki and Marcus Stroman and Chicago enters the new season with most of the roster turned over Cincinnati stayed in the hunt into September last season, but now they'vetraded Sonny Gray, Jesse Winker andEugenio Suarez. Now that ZiPS and PECOTA have both released their projected standings for 2023 (ZiPS can be found here and here, and PECOTA here), here's a breakdown of some interesting points on which they agree, and where they differ. Starting with the winners, there won't be many who will dispute that the White Sox should be the favorite to win the division. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. However, this is still a loaded team. After signing Corey Seager, Marcus Semien and Jon Gray for a combined $556 million in 2021, the Rangers inked Jacob deGrom, Andrew Heaney, Nathan Eovaldi and Martn Prez and traded for Jake Odorizzi this offseason. I don't know why, though. The Cardinals often get far too much from their starters than they should. Tip from Dean E. Smith Center is at 6:30 p.m. It will all come down to how many IL stints the Angels stars have in 2022. All Rights Reserved. The model has them in third in the AL East, but it would surprise no one to see them win the division. Despite employing Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the Halos missed the playoffs for the eighth straight season in 2022. 4. And yet, they won 90 games last season and I'm going under 84.5 this year. The . The increase in the number of teams losing on purpose has left a lot more wins for the good teams to grab. Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . Pair that with the injury concerns we have for multiple starters, its enough to put this team a tier behind the Blue Jays. Nov. 4, 2022. Thats everything the Milwaukee Brewers already bring to the table. AL East This is undoubtedly the toughest division in baseball. Maybe this time I'm right and things have caught up with them. But after an offseason spent filling out their roster with solid role players, ZiPS and PECOTA both think they have a good chance to break their ignominious drought in 2023. While the MLB season is still a few months away, there has been plenty of excitement to what the new campaign could bring. What is surprising, however, is that ZiPS also puts the Giants squarely in this race at 88-74. The team will also get another look at breakout star Jazz Chisholm in his second year of action. They lost Rodn, Evan Longoria and Brandon Belt. Find the Pistons vs Cavaliers odds below. The rotation lost Robbie Ray but added Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi. I don't buy the Padres or Giants as 90-plus win teams, either. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnaut's MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more.. MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. The Rockieswere surprisingly the top suitor for Kris Bryant, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract Has a team ever lost 110 games as quietly as the Diamondbacks last year? With Chris Bassitt, Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer lined up . The production this season will help set the stage for the next competitive Nationals' team. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. 3 - New York Mets. Even more surprising, potentially letting Freddie Freeman walk in free agency. Jarred Kelenic still needs to make a lot of strides. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted The influx of multiple 100-win teams per season these last handful of years isn't a coincidence, in my view. Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. By Dom Luszczyszyn. Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, everyones preference between the two is understandable. It does not expect full seasons out of both Trout and Ohtani, who have not in their four years together each had seasons where they both appeared in at least 120 games. The rotation is strong, especially after signing Carlos Rodn. Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the brightest stars when he's healthy and Manny Machado gives him powerful protection in the lineup. Clayton Kershaw has struggled to stay healthy, but has been dominant when on the mound. Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel each had solid debut seasons in 2021, and return as established starters with Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. The Phillieswere one of several teams competing near the end of the season for a wild card spot before the Cardinals went on their wild winning streak to take away that final spot. Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. Mookie Betts felt quiet in 2021, but he's still one of baseball's best at the dish. A lineup that already featured the reigning MVP in Bryce Harper added the dynamic bat of Nick Castellanos and left-handed slugger Kyle Schwarber. Jesse Yomtov. 6-keys: media/spln/mlb/reg/free/stories, at Printed from TeamRankings.com - 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. Instead, their big additions were Mitch Haniger, Michael Conforto, Sean Manaea, Ross Stripling and Taylor Rogers. We're using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. The Guardiansfeel like the biggest surprise in the division. I'm more a fan of being right and this one was just pulling me in. The 2020 World Series champions have +600 odds to lift the Commissioner's Trophy in 2022, while the Pirates, Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks are tied for the lowest at +25000. But much of the rest of the lineup is unproven. The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. The fourth and final 2022-23 regular-season meeting in the Battle of Florida is set for Tuesday as the Florida Panthers head to Tampa to take on the Lightning and their No.1 home offense. As for Colorado, signing Kris Bryant feels like a move for ticket sales as this is still one of the worst teams in MLB. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Los Angeles Dodgers: +600. 2023 Season; 2022 Season; 2021 Season; 2020 Season; 2019 Season; 2018 Season; CFB FBS. The deepest lineup in baseball got deeper when it signed Freddie Freeman to help offset the loss of Seager. Major League Leaders . (As a reminder, Emmanuel Clase did it in 2022 . Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team's projected . I'm not a Phillies fan. The Mariners, as currently constructed, are going to be a better, more well-rounded baseball team in 2022 than they were in 2021. From now on, all these projections will update every morning to reflect the latest . We just saw that I like the Blue Jays for around 95 wins. The versatile Max Muncy will hit anywhere he's playing, and Justin Turner has shown no signs of aging as he heads into his age 36 season. Support FanGraphs. Thats two huge additions, creating a lineup that should be among the NL leaders in home runs and RBI. Weak offense. October 6th, 2022. The Cherries are 19th in the standings with 21 points but trail Leeds United by one for 17th place. Carter Kieboom has been hyped for some time, and will finally be given a full opportunity once he returns from his forearm injury. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the team's vaunted pitching staff to allow . After reaching the playoffs in 2020 and winning the AL Central with a 93-69 record the following year, the White Sox seemed poised to establish themselves as the divisions alpha dog in 2022. "Ok . With the exception of a 107-win season from the Giants in 2021, the Dodgers have owned the NL West for the past decade. The model's concerns for Seattle stem from its uncertain pitching depth beyond Ray and Marco Gonzales and the risk of an underperforming infield, but make no mistake, the future is bright in Seattle. Download data. We like the Zack Greinke return and have optimism for the Royals future, but 2022 wont be great. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. AL EAST. Unfortunately, the starting rotation and lineup arent remotely good enough to even challenge for 72 wins. MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. First off, the Dodgers are the best team. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. Corbin Burnes won the Cy Young with a sterling 2.43 ERA, and he was joined in the sub-3.00 ERA club by Brandon Woodruff (2.56) and Freddy Peralta (2.81). Picking the White Sox to run away with the division is certainly correct, but the rest of the standings feel a bit jumbled given recent history. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. Jonathan India and Tyler Stephenson shined in their rookie seasons, and are expected to continue to improve, and a healthy Nick Senzel could help him live up to his top prospect billing. The Line: Man City -240 / Newcastle United +550 // Total: 2.5. Sure, Opening Day was pushed back a week, but the MLB season is set to play a full 162 games, which was not a given earlier this winter. April 7, 2022 2:14pm More On: mlb preview 2022 MLB video preview: Joel Sherman and Mike Vaccaro on who to watch, what's changing and how far Yankees and Mets can go in 2022 Some major changes await the 2022 MLB season. Were seeing the Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics head in opposite directions. They've got a good young rotation led by Sandy Alcantara and are going to causeheadaches for the division's presumed contenders Juan Soto Extension Watch is going to be 2022's dominant storyline for the Nationals, who did sign 41-year-old DH Nelson Cruz. Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. MLB Baseball Standings Projections on TeamRankings.com. Projected AL East Standings: 1. They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. FIVE BIG QUESTIONS:AL East | AL Central | AL WestNL East | NL Central | NL West. Atlanta can erase some of our concerns by acquiring Matt Olson. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. The bullpen is, well, the Phillies bullpen. Chicago still finishes atop the AL Central in our MLB predictions, but the separation is decreasing. Before long, Hayes will soon be joined on the left side of the infield by towering shortstop Oneil Cruz. Scorched. 5 starter. Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate.